Journal of Clinical Medicine Research, ISSN 1918-3003 print, 1918-3011 online, Open Access
Article copyright, the authors; Journal compilation copyright, J Clin Med Res and Elmer Press Inc
Journal website https://jocmr.elmerjournals.com

Original Article

Volume 000, Number 000, May 2025, pages 000-000


Comparative Efficacy of Tirzepatide vs. Semaglutide in Reducing Body Weight in Humans: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trials and Real-World Data

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram.
Figure 2.
Figure 2. Forest plot of weight loss % mean differences in tirzepatide versus semaglutide interventions.
Figure 3.
Figure 3. Forest plot of subgroup analysis based on tirzepatide dose.
Figure 4.
Figure 4. Forest plot of subgroup analysis based on tirzepatide duration.
Figure 5.
Figure 5. Forest plot of subgroup analysis based on study design.
Figure 6.
Figure 6. Sensitivity analysis of weight loss % mean differences in tirzepatide versus semaglutide interventions.
Figure 7.
Figure 7. Funnel plots of studies reporting weight loss % induced by tirzepatide or semaglutide.
Figure 8.
Figure 8. Risk of bias in all studies.
Figure 9.
Figure 9. Risk of bias of individual studies.

Tables

Table 1. Search Strategy and Results
 
DatabaseSearch numberQueryResults
PubMed (all fields)Search 1“tirzepatide” (MeSH terms) OR “tirzepatide” (all fields) OR “tirzepatide” (MeSH terms) OR “tirzepatide” (all fields) OR “mounjaro” (all fields) OR “tirzepatide” (MeSH terms) OR “tirzepatide” (all fields) OR “zepbound” (all fields) OR “tirzepatide” (MeSH terms) OR “tirzepatide” (all fields) OR “ly3298176” (all fields)821
Search 2“semaglutide” (supplementary concept) OR “semaglutide” (all fields) OR “GLP-1 agonist” (all fields) OR “semaglutide” (supplementary concept) OR “semaglutide” (all fields) OR “ozempic” (all fields) OR “semaglutide” (supplementary concept) OR “semaglutide” (all fields) OR “rybelsus” (all fields) OR “semaglutide” (supplementary concept) OR “semaglutide” (all fields) OR “wegovy” (all fields)3,132
Search 3“body weight” (all fields) OR “Weight loss” (all fields) OR “loss in weight” (all fields) OR “body mass” (all fields) OR “Anti-obesity agents” (all fields)810,303
Search 4#1 AND #2 AND #3163
Web of ScienceSearch 1ALL = (tirzepatide OR mounjaro OR zepbound OR ly3298176)1,123
Search 2ALL = (semaglutide OR “GLP-1 agonist” OR ozempic OR rybelsus OR wegovy)4,332
Search 3ALL = (“body weight” OR “Weight loss” OR “loss in weight” OR “body mass” OR “Anti-obesity agents”)806,866
Search 4#1 AND #2 AND #3271
ScopusSearch 1TITLE-ABS-KEY (“tirzepatide” OR “mounjaro” OR “zepbound” OR “ly3298176”)1,622
Search 2TITLE-ABS-KEY (“GLP-1 agonist” OR “semaglutide” OR “ozempic” OR “rybelsus” OR “wegovy”)6,055
Search 3TITLE-ABS-KEY (“body weight” OR “Weight loss” OR “loss in weight” OR “body mass” OR “Anti-obesity agents”)25,765
Search 4#1 AND #2 AND #3317

 

Table 2. Characteristics of the Included Studies
 
Study ID; study design; blindnessCountry; time period; funding; protocol registration (number/NR)Study population (baseline)Drug: route, frequency, dose
Comparator: route, frequency, dose
Participants number (randomized/completed)Eligibility criteria
BMI (kg/m2), mean ± SDAge (years), mean ± SDFemale, n (%)
BMI: body mass index; eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate; HbA1c: hemoglobin A1c; GI: gastrointestinal; GLP-1 RA: glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist; NR: not reported; RCT: randomized controlled trial; SC: subcutaneous; Sem: semaglutide; SG: sleeve gastrectomy; Tir: tirzepatide; T1DM: type 1 diabetes mellitus; T2DM: type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Frias et al, 2021 [15]; RCT; open labelUnited States, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Israel, Mexico, and the United Kingdom; July 30, 2019 - February 15, 2021; funded by Eli Lilley; Reg. NCT03987919Tir: 5 mg: 33.8 ± 6.85; 10 mg: 34.3 ± 6.60; 15 mg: 34.5 ± 7.11
Sem: 34.2 ± 7.15
Tir: 5 mg: 56.3 ± 10.0; 10 mg: 57.2 ± 10.5; 15 mg: 55.9 ± 10.4
Sem: 56.9 ± 10.8
Tir: 5 mg: 265 (56.4); 10 mg: 231 (49.3); 15 mg: 256 (54.5)
Sem: 244 (52)
Tir: SC once weekly 5 mg, 10 mg, 15 mg for 40 weeks
Sem: SC once weekly 1 mg for 40 weeks
Tir: 5 mg: 470/452; 10 mg: 469/412; 15 mg: 470/416
Sem: 469/443
Inclusion: 18 years or older and T2DM that was inadequately controlled with metformin and had stable weight (± 5%) during the previous 3 months
Exclusion: 1) T1DM; 2) an eGFR below 45 mL/min/1.73 m2; 3) a history of pancreatitis, non-proliferative/proliferative diabetic retinopathy or diabetic maculopathy
Heise et al, 2023 [16]; RCT; double-blindGermany; time period NR; funded by Eli Lilley; Reg. NCT03951753Tir: 31.3 ± 5.0
Sem: 30.8 ± 3.8
Tir: 61.1 ± 7.1
Sem: 63.7 ± 5.9
Tir: 14 (33.3)
Sem: 10 (22.7)
Tir: SC once weekly 15 mg for 28 weeks
Sem: SC once weekly 1 mg for 28 weeks
Tir: 45/41
Sem: 44/43
Inclusion: 20 - 74 years older with T2DM (HbA1c 7.0-9.5% if on metformin only or 6.5-9.0% if on metformin in combination with other oral antihyperglycemic medications) and a BMI 25 - 45 kg/m2
Exclusion: 1) T1DM; 2) had one or more episodes of severe hypoglycemia or ketoacidosis within 6 months before screening; 3) a history of proliferative retinopathy or maculopathy; 4) impaired renal eGFR < 45 mL/min/1.73 m2; 5) a history or current cardiovascular, respiratory, hepatic, renal, GI, endocrine, hematological or neurological disorders
Anson et al, 2024 [17]; retrospective cohortNorth America; June 5, 2024; non-fundedTir: NR
Sem: NR
Tir: 47.5 ± 11.8
Sem: 47.5 ± 11.9
Tir: 5,054 (73)
Sem: 5,054 (73)
Tir: NR
Sem: NR
Tir: 6,923
Sem: 6,923
Inclusion: aged 18 or over without a pre-existing diagnosis of any diabetes mellitus who were prescribed either Tir or Sem
Exclusion: individuals who were ever prescribed any GLP-1 RA or pramlintide
Azuri et al, 2023 [18]; retrospective cohortTir: Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Japan, Mexico, Russian Federation, Taiwan, and the United States; time period NR; funded by Eli Lilly
Sem: Asia, Europe, North America, and South America; June - November 2018; funded by Novo Nordisk
Tir: 38.1 ± 6.69
Sem: 37.8 ± 6.7
Tir: 44.9 ± 12.3
Sem: 46 ± 13
Tir: 425 (67.5)
Sem: 955 (73.1)
Tir: SC once weekly 15 mg for 72 weeks
Sem: SC once weekly 2.4 mg for 68 weeks
Tir: 630/566
Sem: 1,306/1,240
Inclusion: adults (18 years of age or older) with one or more self-reported unsuccessful dietary efforts to lose weight and either a BMI of 30 or greater or a BMI of 27 or greater with one or more treated or untreated weight-related coexisting conditions.
Exclusion (Sem): 1) have T1DM or T2DM; 2) an HbA1c level of 48 mmol/mol (6.5%) or greater; 3) a history of chronic pancreatitis, acute pancreatitis within 180 days before enrollment, previous surgical obesity treatment, and use of anti-obesity medication within 90 days before enrollment; 4) have a self-reported change in body weight > 5 kg within 3 months before screening.
Gebre et al, 2024 [19]; retrospective cohortLocation NR; time period NR; funded by Novo NordiskTir: 36.6 ± 5.3
Sem: 33.4 ± 6
Tir: 42 ± 8
Sem: 42 ± 11
Tir: 14 (54)
Sem: 35 (70)
Tir: SC once weekly given for 9 months
Sem: SC once weekly given for 9 months
Remaining info NR
Tir: 26
Sem: 50
Inclusion: patients with T1DM who were treated with Tir or Sem
Exclusion criteria: not given
Jamal et al, 2024 [20]; retrospective cohortKuwait; January 2022; non-fundedTir: 36.9 ± 7.1
Sem: 33.9 ± 6
Tir: 40.2 ± 10.5
Sem: 38.1 ± 10.3
Tir: 37 (82.2)
Sem: 56 (80)
Tir: increasing dose regimen starting at 2.5 mg given for 6 months
Sem: increasing dose regimen starting at 0.25 mg given for 6 months
Tir: 45
Sem: 70
Inclusion: adult (> 18 years old) patients who sought management of weight recurrence after SG with Sem or Tir with BMI greater than 30 or 27 kg/m2 with at least one obesity-related complication
Exclusion: patients on any other weight loss regimen, had personal history of pancreatitis, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer, or they were pregnant or breastfeeding, or if the patient discontinued the treatment in less than 12 weeks.
Rodriguez et al, 2024 [21]; retrospective cohortUnited States; May 2022 - September 2023; non-fundedTir: 39 ± 8.08
Sem: 38.6 ± 7.92
Tir: 51.9 ± 12.7
Sem: 56.4 ± 13
Tir: 6,484 (71)
Sem: 21,060 (66)
Tir: SC once weekly 5 mg for 12 months
Sem: SC once weekly 0.5 mg for 12 months
Tir: 9,193
Sem: 32,029
Inclusion: 1) adults first dispensed Tir or Sem labeled for T2DM (as brand names Mounjaro (Eli Lilly) or Ozempic (Novo Nordisk), respectively), and who had BMI ≥ 27. 2) patients with regular interactions with the health care system
Exclusion: history of GLP-1 RA use

 

Table 3. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) Quality Assessment for Retrospective Cohort Studies
 
Anson et al, 2024 [17]Azuri et al, 2023 [18]Gebre et al, 2024 [19]Jamal et al, 2024 [20]Rodriguez et al, 2024 [21]
Scoring algorithms: ≥ 7 points were considered as “good”, 2 to 6 points were considered as “fair”, and ≤ 1 point was considered as “poor” quality. DM: diabetes mellitus.
1. Selection domain
1) Representativeness of the tirzepatide cohort*****
a) truly representative*
b) somewhat representative*
c) selected group of users
d) no description
2) Selection of the semaglutide cohort*****
a) drawn from the same community*
b) drawn from a different source
c) no description of the derivation
3) Ascertainment of exposure to intervention*****
a) secure record (e.g., hospital records)*
b) structured interview*
c) written self-report
d) no description
4) Demonstration that outcome of interest was not present at start of study (subjects were obese/overweight at beginning)*****
a) yes*
b) no
1) Comparability of cohorts on the basis of the design or analysis
a) study controls for _ (select the most important factor, e.g., age, gender, marital status)**-*-*
b) study controls for any additional factor* (weight) similar disease like DM or obesity)*-*-*
Outcome
1) Assessment of outcome
a) independent blind assessment******
b) record linkage*
c) self-report
d) no description
2) Was follow-up long enough for outcomes to occur
a) yes (select an adequate follow up period for outcome of interest, a follow-up of 12 weeks at least)******
b) no
3) Adequacy of follow-up of cohorts**No statement*-
a) complete follow-up - all subjects accounted for*
b) subjects lost to follow-up unlikely to introduce bias - numbers lost is ≤ 20%, or description of those lost suggested no different from those followed)*
c) follow-up rate < 80% and no description of those lost
d) no statement
Total scores (quality)9 (good)7 (good)8 (good)7 (good)8 (good)