Journal of Clinical Medicine Research, ISSN 1918-3003 print, 1918-3011 online, Open Access
Article copyright, the authors; Journal compilation copyright, J Clin Med Res and Elmer Press Inc
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Original Article

Volume 18, Number 4, April 2026, pages 261-269


PIFA-N Multifactor Model to Predict Adverse Outcomes for Chronic Heart Failure Patients

Figures

↓  Figure 1. Results of ROC analysis for PIFA-N multivariate logistic regression model. ROC: receiver operating characteristic.
Figure 1.
↓  Figure 2. Cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular deaths of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients.
Figure 2.

Tables

↓  Table 1. Comparative Analysis of the Clinical Characteristics and Backgrounds of Patients Who Reached/Did Not Reach the Endpoint
 
IndicatorEndpoint not reached (n = 146)Endpoint reached (n = 77)Р
ACVA: acute cerebrovascular accident; BMI: body mass index; CABG: coronary artery bypass graft; DM: diabetes mellitus; HbA1c: glycated hemoglobin; Me (Q1; Q3): median (interquartile range); NYHA FC: New York Heart Association Functional Classification; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention.
Age, years, Me (Q1; Q3)72 (64; 79.8)78 (70; 82)0.02
Male, n (%)56 (38.4%)28 (36.4%)0.87
BMI, kg/m2, Me (Q1; Q3)30.4 (26.5; 36.8)30.6 (25.7; 34.8)0.18
NYHA FC, mean ± SD2.88 ± 0.653.2 ± 0.560.0005
Cardiac comorbidities
Arterial hypertension, n (%)139 (95.2%)71 (97%)0.25
SBP on admission, mm Hg, mean ± SD137 ± 24.5135 ± 22.30.41
Ischemic heart disease, n (%)141 (96.6%)69 (95%)0.54
Post-infarction cardiosclerosis, n (%)62 (42.5%)48 (65.8%)0.001
CABG history, n (%)7 (4.7%)6 (8%)0.45
PCI history, n (%)16 (11%)9 (12%)0.71
Rheumatic heart defect, n (%)5 (3.4%)6 (8%)0.12
Degenerative heart defect, n (%)20 (13.7%)7 (9.6%)0.35
Heart defect in outcome of infectious endocarditis, n (%)2 (1.4%)1 (1.3%)0.76
Dilated cardiomyopathy, n (%)8 (5.5%)3 (4.3%)0.73
Atrial fibrillation, n%89 (61%)55 (75%)0.04
Pacemaker, n (%)10 (6.8%)7 (9.5%)0.54
Non-cardiac comorbidities
ACVA history, n (%)11 (7.5%)9 (12%)0.23
Community-acquired pneumonia on admission, n (%)42 (28.6%)41 (56%)0.0002
Bronchial obstructive diseases, n (%)49 (33.5%)25 (34%)0.68
Pulmonary thromboembolism history, n (%)3 (2%)5 (7%)0.12
Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome, n (%)17 (11.6%)4 (5%)0.14
Mild anemia, n (%)28 (19.2%)17 (23%)0.43
Type 2 DM, n (%)51 (34.9%)19 (26%)0.23
HbA1c6.2 (5.6; 6.9)6.6 (5.9; 7.7)0.19
Thyroid diseases, n (%)32 (21.9%)18 (25%)0.67
Duodenal ulcer disease in remission/chronic gastroduodenitis, n (%)46 (31.5%)16 (22%)0.14
Chronic kidney disease, n (%)80 (54.7%)52 (71%)0.37
Joints and spine diseases, n (%)32 (21.9%)17 (22.3%)0.63
Charlson Comorbidity Index, Me (Q1; Q3)10.8 (9.6; 13.1)12 (11; 13.8)0.01

 

↓  Table 2. Comparison of the Therapy Given to Patients Who Reached/Did Not Reach the Endpoint
 
IndicatorEndpoint not reached (n = 146)Endpoint reached (n = 77)Р
ACEIs: angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors; ARBs: angiotensin receptor blockers; DOACs: direct oral anticoagulants; MRAs: mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists; SGLT2Is: type 2 sodium-glucose cotransporter inhibitors.
ACEIs (%)110 (75.3%)63 (81.8%)0.512
ARBs, n (%)22 (15.1%)9 (11.6%)0.313
Valsartan/sacubitryl, n (%)5 (3.4%)3 (3.9%)0.897
Beta blockers, n (%)151 (97%)69 (95%)0.541
MRAs, n (%)72 (49.3%)32 (41.5%)0.412
Loop diuretics, n (%)95 (65.1%)66 (85.7%)0.067
Thiazide and thiazide-like diuretics, n (%)17 (11.6%)8 (10.4%)0.815
SGLT2Is, n (%)51 (32.9%)29 (37.7%)0.614
Cardiac glycosides (digoxin), n (%)12 (8.2%)7 (9.1%)0.733
Statins, n (%)78 (53.4%)52 (67.5%)0.145
Amiodarone, n (%)22 (15.1%)18 (23.4%)0.188
Sotalol, n (%)9 (6.1%)4 (5.2%)0.765
Antiplatelet agents (aspirin), n (%)25 (17.1%)14 (18.1%)0.855
DOACs, n (%)85 (58.2%)54 (70.1%)0.072
Calcium antagonists, n (%)7 (4.8%)4 (5.2%)0.814

 

↓  Table 3. Comparative Analysis of Echocardiographic Characteristics of CHF Patients Who Reached/Did Not Reach the Endpoint
 
IndicatorEndpoint not reached (n = 146)Endpoint reached (n = 77)Р
LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; LV EDD: left ventricular end-diastolic dimension; LV ESD: left ventricular end-systolic dimension; LV EDV: left ventricular end-diastolic volume; LV ESV: left ventricular end-systolic volume; LVSV: left ventricular stroke volume; IVS: interventricular septum thickness in diastole; LVPW: left ventricular posterior wall thickness in diastole; LVMI: left ventricular mass index; LA volume: left atrial volume; sPAP: systolic pulmonary artery pressure; ICVd: inferior vena cava diameter; RVEF: right ventricular ejection fraction.
LVEF, %50 (41; 59.8)41 (36; 51.5)0.001
LV EDD, mm48 (43; 52)50 (46; 52.2)0.853
LV ESD, mm35 (31; 40)41 (31; 44)0.320
LV EDV, mL100 (83; 122)119 (107; 152)0.03
LV ESV, mL42 (39; 71)67 (43; 96)0.001
LVSV, mL64 (60; 72)67 (54; 70)0.568
IVS, mm11.5 (9.8; 12.5)12 (11; 12.5)0.763
LVPW, mm10 (9; 10.5)10 (9; 10.5)0.689
LVMI, g/m2100 (81; 117)110 (92; 126)0.09
LA volume, mL71 (66; 95)90 (74; 101)0.03
sPAP, mm Hg28 (21; 44)40 (26.5; 52)0.004
ICVd, mm20 (20; 21)20.5 (19; 23)0.129
RVEF, %62 (57; 67)57 (53; 63)0.304

 

↓  Table 4. Comparative Analysis of Laboratory Characteristics of CHF Patients Who Reached/Did Not Reach the Endpoint
 
IndicatorEndpoint not reached (n = 146)Endpoint reached (n = 77)Р
ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate; GFRCKD-EPI: glomerular filtration rate estimated by CKD-EPI; HDLs: high-density lipoproteins; INR: international normalized ratio; LDLs: low-density lipoproteins; NT-proBNP: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; ST2: soluble interleukin-like protein receptor; VLDLs: very low-density lipoproteins.
Leukocytes, × 109/L6.92 (5.79; 8.59)7.51 (5.99; 8.86)0.25
Hemoglobin, g/L139 (126; 148)134 (121; 144)0.06
Platelets, × 109/L220 (178; 262)202 (164; 259)0.58
ESR, mm/h20.5 (11.8; 33)20 (10.8; 38.8)0.43
Creatinine, µmol/L102 (92.3; 117)114 (93.4; 138.4)0.042
GFRCKD-EPI, mL/min/1.73 m253 (44.9; 64)49 (36.9; 61)0.07
Urea nitrogen, mmol/L7.5 (5.9; 9.3)9.5 (6.7; 12.7)0.0001
Potassium, mmol/L4.6 (4.4; 4.9)4.6 (4.01; 5)0.84
Sodium, mmol/L144 (141; 147)142 (138; 145)0.21
Iron, µmol/L12 (8.4; 17.1)8.5 (6.3; 11.5)0.34
AST, U/L26 (21.3; 33)28 (20; 39)0.32
ALT, U/L22 (17; 34)20.2 (13.7; 26)0.36
Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, U/mL41 (25.5; 53.5)33.5 (25.3; 41.8)0.44
Alkaline phosphatase, U/mL199 (155; 247)230 (176; 298)0.12
Total bilirubin, µmol/L14.9 (10.6; 20.7)15.1 (10.4; 21.9)0.41
Direct bilirubin, µmol/L4.9 (3.6; 6.4)8.6 (5.7; 10.9)0.07
Albumin, g/L41.9 (36.5; 44.2)38.1 (33.7; 40.1)0.03
Total cholesterol, mmol/L4.77 (3.7; 5.9)4.01 (3.26; 5.07)0.001
HDLs, mmol/L1.25 (1.02; 1.54)1.17 (0.81; 1.61)0.39
LDLs, mmol/L2.92 (2.05; 3.74)2.34 (1.85; 2.7)0.001
VLDLs, mmol/L0.59 (0.42; 0.99)0.53 (0.37; 0.71)0.03
Glucose, mmol/L6.04 (5.3; 7.2)6.37 (5.3; 7.3)0.83
INR1.02 (0.94; 1.14)1.15 (0.98; 1.38)0.02
MELD-XI, points10.6 (8.2; 12.8)12.2 (9.7; 15.1)0.001
NT-proBNP, pg/mL468.1 (203.2; 1,142.4)987 (421.7; 2,365)0.002
Copeptin, ng/mL6.96 (5.11; 8.23)6.64 (5.33; 9.16)0.629
ST2, ng/mL23.29 (14.9; 33.1)53.76 (21.1; 93.5)0.017
Galectin-3, ng/mL8.85 (6.67; 11.53)9.92 (5.88; 10.69)0.718
Haptoglobin, ng/mL1086 (686; 1,717)1286 (748.1; 1,957.9)0.689
Hepcidin, ng/mL27.1 (22.94; 53.72)22.5 (19.09; 37.17)0.207

 

↓  Table 5. Results of Uni- and Multivariate Cox Regression Analysis (Adjusted for Age, Sex, BMI, NYHA Class, and Renal Function (Creatinine/Urea)) for Assessing CHF Patients’ Lethal Outcome Risk
 
Risk factorsUnivariate regression analysisMultivariate regression analysis
RR95% CIPOR95% CIP
AMI: acute myocardial infarction; BMI: body mass index; CI: confidence interval; GFRCKD-EPI: glomerular filtration rate estimated by CKD-EPI; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; OR: odds ratio; NT-proBNP: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; RR: risk ratio; sST2: soluble interleukin-like protein receptor.
Age1.0240.999–1.0490.060
Male gender0.9530.58–1.5630.850
BMI0.9690.936–1.0040.083
LVEF < 40%2.4511.478–4.0640.001
Community-acquired pneumonia2.3981.451–3.9620.0213.091.13–8.50.028
AMI history4.2621.68–11.78< 0.0014.261.54–11.70.005
Atrial fibrillation3.1341.06–9.240.0343.131.05–9.20.039
Anemia3.1751.003–10.040.0333.181.003–10.10.049
MELD-XI2.3451.274–4.3150.006
GFRCKD-EPI0.9910.975–1.0070.246
NT-proBNP1.00041.0001–1.00050.0021.00051.0002–1.00080.002
sST21.0111.007–1.0210.035